I think the 200m free is going to be Ryan's toughest event. It's an event he has not swum individually before (in short course meters) and it's his first race, which is usually the toughest. In addition, he's not rested and it's a ridiculously competitive field. Nevertheless, I still believe he can win.
According to www.swimnews.com, the fastest times this year (post-suits) were Daniil Izotov's 1:41.84 and Yannick Agnel's 1:41.96. Despite these times this year, both entered the meet with slower seed times. The top seeds - Filippo Magnini and Pawel Korzeniowski - achieved their times during the suit era a year ago. Paul Biedermann's entry time is from last month's European SC Championships, where he finished second to Izotov.
I don't remember Ryan swimming the 200m free in SCM. The all-time performance data provided by www.swimnews.com shows Ryan's best time as 1:44.15. This time is from the 2008 SC Worlds in Manchester, England, when he swam the lead-off leg of the 4 x 200m free relay.
According to www.usaswimming.org, 1:44.15 is the fastest time Ryan has swum in this event. So where did Ryan's entry time of 1:42.88 come from?
I do not know. It could be a conversion of his best SCY time to SCM. Ryan's best SCY time is 1:32.40, which converts to roughly 1:43.12 according to this conversion tool. http://www.swimaz.com/tools/timeconverter/ . It could also be a conversion of his best LCM time to SCM, but that is 1:41.61 (from 1:45.30). These theories are the best I could come up with!
My prediction for this event:
1 - Ryan Lochte
2 - Daniil Izotov
3- Paul Biedermann
No comments:
Post a Comment