Thursday, July 9, 2009

US Nationals - Day 4 Preview - 200m IM & 100m free

Ryan is entered in two events at U.S. nationals on Friday, July 10: the 200m IM and the 100m free. Wonder if he'll swim in both events. I'm thinking he will swim in the prelims and finals of the 200 IM, which is one of his best events, and swim only the prelims of the 100 free in order to be considered for the 4 x 100 free relay. I could be wrong though...nothing would surprise me after he dropped the 100 back yesterday.

200m IM:

Here are the top 8 seeds in the 200 IM:

1 Lochte, Ryan - 1:55.22
2 Shanteau, Eric - 1:58.15
3 Margalis, Robert - 2:00.77
4 Patrick, Todd - 2:00.87
4 D'Innocenzo, Nicholas - 2:00.87
6 Whitaker, Kyle - 2:01.27
7 Burckle, Clark - 2:01.30
8 Clary, Tyler - 2:01.87

I believe Clark Burckle is out of the meet with a broken thumb so I don't think he'll be swimming in this event. The current 9th seed is Jack Brown with a time of 2:02.03.

Ryan and Eric Shanteau have to be the favorites. They are the only Americans entered in this race to have gone under 2 minutes. Nevertheless, I'm not going to count out Tyler Clary. His times have improved so drastically that he could drop below 1:58 and qualify in this event too. I think Ryan will go below 1:55 in the finals and swim a personal best. I also think Ryan will break the WR in this event (1:54.23 - Michael Phelps) in Rome. It will help if he has Tyler or someone else pushing him.

100m free:

I would love to see Ryan do well in this event, swim a personal best, and qualify for the 4 x 100 free relay. In order to do so, he will have to swim at least the prelims. It's too bad this event is on the same day as the 200IM but Ryan has done doubles before and I'm sure he's up for it.

Ryan is seeded 11th in the 100 free, but there are 4 swimmers in the top 10 who are not American and therefore will not be eligible for the A final. The top 14 seeds (including 6 foreign nationals) are:

1 Phelps, Michael - 47.51
2 *Cielo, Cesar - 47.67 (Brazil)
3 Weber-Gale, Garrett - 47.78
4 *Targett, Matthew - 47.88 (Australia)
5 Brunelli, Nicholas - 48.29
6 Jones, Cullen - 48.35
7 Adrian, Nathan - 48.46
8 *Bousquet, Fred - 48.52 (France)
9 Grevers, Matthew - 48.53
10 *Meichtry, Dominik - 48.55 (Switzerland)
11 Lochte, Ryan - 48.65
12 *Bovell, George - 48.83 (Trinidad)
13 *Subirats, Albert - 48.97 (Venezuela)
14 Walters, David - 49.04

Among the Americans, Ryan is ranked 7th. He needs to finish in the top 6 to ensure consideration for the 4 x 100 free relay. I'd love to see him go under 48 for the first time.

No comments: